The House is the easy call. The Senate takes some working out, but after going through it state by state, I’m predicting a ...

Explore the divergence between polling averages and election prediction markets for the 2026 Midterms and why market prices differ from polls.

Learn how the major prediction market players operate, and what makes them different from each other in this factual guide.

Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports.

As prediction markets boom, with an increased eye on elections, Kentucky and other states are taking steps to regulate them.

Trump’s mail-in voting restrictions have been nixed, but there are still many other ways the midterms could veer off-course.

Read how Information is transitioning from a passive commodity into a priced financial asset and Market Statistic ...

2028 US Presidential Election odds show a strange split on Kalshi: Democrats lead the party market, but Republican candidates dominate the individual board as traders price a fractured Democratic ...

Former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) declared the Make America Great Again movement “dead” on Thursday.

Polymarket, the prediction market operator, has seen combined weekly trading volume across its US and international platforms ...

Polymarket US is a federally regulated prediction-market exchange that is available in 40 states in the U.S. Here's how it works.

As Brazil prepares to hold elections next month, Latin America’s biggest nation is taking steps to shield its democracy from ...