September, to 0.38 (from 0.84 in August), returning to its June level. The indicator was affected by the rise in market interest rates and the deterioration in consumer confidence. The €-coin ...

Global Action Without Global Governance: Building Coalitions for Climate Transition and Nature Restoration, is the second output from the ITCEI initiative. It is a response to a sobering geopolitical ...

The CEPR-EABCN Euro Area Business Cycle Dating Committee establishes the chronology of recessions and expansions of the eleven original euro area member countries plus Greece for 1970-1998, and of the ...

CEPR Discussion Papers are available for download via subscription. They are also made available to our research network and to selected members of the press. If you are a CEPR Researcher, and have ...

Rafael Portillo is Chief of the Economic Modelling Division in the Research Department of the IMF. He has also worked in the Western Hemisphere, Monetary and Capital Markets, and African Departments, ...

Garicano, L, J Li and Y Wu (2026), ‘DP21453 Weak Bundle, Strong Bundle: How AI Redraws Job Boundaries‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 21453. CEPR Press, Paris ...

Bagues, M, M Makany, G Vattuone and N Zinovyeva (2026), ‘DP21325 Female Promotions and the Academic Pipeline: Evidence from a Natural Experiment‘, CEPR Discussion ...

Several central banks have recently imposed negative interest rates, with prominent economists supporting this move (e.g. Bernanke 2020, Lilley and Rogoff 2019, 2020. The Swedish Riksbank was the ...

Prediction markets match people who place wagers backing events to happen with people who wager that the event will not happen. Promoted in popular books by Surowiecki (2004) and Sunstein (2006), ...

Ehrmann, M (2024), ‘DP19781 Trust in Central Banks‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 19781. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp19781 ...

Boese-Schlosser, V and M Eberhardt (2025), ‘DP20146 Democracy in Decline: The Economic Implications of Democratic Collapse‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 20146. CEPR ...

In their classic contribution, Eichengreen and O’Rourke (2010) traced and compared the evolution of industrial production after two great shocks, the banking crisis that produced the Great Depression ...