It’s not unreasonable to approach election polls from a position of mild — maybe even more-than-mild — skepticism. In some cases this year, they’re projecting remarkable things, like Democrats having ...
One thing I’ll remember about this primary season is the continuous stream of broken fundraising records. First, Texas gave us the most expensive Senate primary in US history, with over $122 million ...
Last night, Marist College published a poll showing Democrat Josh Turek leading by 8 points in Iowa’s Senate race. Our Silver ...
In the history of Silver Bulletin/FiveThirtyEight election forecasts, I’m not sure there’s ever really been a case where we’ve been completely on the other side of the conventional wisdom — in other ...
Tonight was the first and perhaps only debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Thanks to all of you who joined us in the subscriber chat. It’s been a busy couple of weeks with travel and a lot ...
It’s sometimes said that wealth is “destroyed” when the stock market declines, but it’s worth unpacking what that means. On the one hand, it’s true that when your investment portfolio loses value, ...
Still Counting Episode 3 is out. Video version above, audio below. We’ll be publishing these each week here at the newsletter. But for faster access, please subscribe on YouTube or follow us on Apple ...
Pop quiz. Which Senate seat are Democrats more likely to flip: Ohio or Maine? This might seem like an easy question. In 2024, Kamala Harris won the Pine Tree State by 7 points, but lost the Buckeye ...
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